5-Year Outcome Predictor
Longitudinal trajectory forecasting with confidence intervals
Trajectory Analysis
Uses mixed-effects growth models with interaction terms (baseline × intervention) to forecast long-term outcomes.
- academic
- social
- executive
5-Year Predicted Outcome
Academic: 85/100 (95% CI: 78-92)
Risk Factors
- • Comorbid anxiety (odds ratio 1.8x slower trajectory)
- • Medication gaps >2 weeks (33% skill decay probability)
- • Parental stress >75th percentile (-12% transfer efficiency)
Model Specification
Latent growth curve model with baseline EF severity, intervention intensity, and engagement as predictors. Bootstrapped 95% CI via 10,000 resamples.
